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The Red Sea Bridge: Middle Eastern Ambitions in the Horn of Africa

The Red Sea no longer functions as a geographic barrier; it has become a high-stakes corridor linking Middle Eastern power struggles to the Horn of Africa. As Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, and Türkiye expand their footprints, the region’s ports and trade routes are increasingly shaping regional security architectures.

Control over the Bab el Mandeb strait has turned local infrastructure into strategic assets. The UAE has leveraged its 58.5 percent stake in the Berbera port to secure a commercial foothold in Somaliland, creating a vital gateway to landlocked Ethiopia. Simultaneously, Saudi Arabia is pushing for a broader maritime security coalition to protect energy routes, signaling a distinct approach to regional stability that does not always align with Emirati interests.

This competition is further complicated by historical rivalries. Egypt’s long-standing dispute with Ethiopia over the Nile has spilled into the maritime domain, leading Cairo to deepen security ties with Somalia and Eritrea. Meanwhile, Türkiye has carved out a unique role as a mediator, utilizing its influence in Somalia to facilitate diplomatic dialogues regarding Ethiopian access to the sea. These external efforts, however, are not always stabilizing. In Sudan, the civil war has been exacerbated by the influx of foreign weapons and logistical networks, with reports identifying transnational entities linked to the UAE supplying the Rapid Support Forces—an allegation the UAE has denied.

African states are far from passive observers in this shifting landscape. Governments in the region are actively bargaining to convert their geographic location into economic leverage, as seen in Djibouti’s successful model of hosting multiple international military presences. The ultimate outcome hinges on whether this influx of foreign interest empowers local institutions or deepens dependency. If regional leaders successfully navigate these competing interests, they may gain autonomy; if they become mere conduits for external rivalry, the Horn risks becoming a permanent theater for conflicts defined far beyond its borders.

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