Right-wing candidate Abelardo De La Espriella leads polling on a platform of aggressive military intervention. The lawyer advocates for ending current peace talks and launching a full-scale offensive against organized crime and drug traffickers. Conversely, Senator Ivan Cepeda argues for maintaining dialogue, proposing legislative pathways for gangs to dismantle their organizations in exchange for legal concessions. Analysts note that while urban crime rates show mixed results, the expansion of groups like the Clan del Golfo and FARC dissidents into rural territories has left a quarter of the nation’s municipalities under some form of criminal influence.
Restoring stability remains a logistical and strategic hurdle. A retired high-ranking officer noted that the military currently faces a mobility crisis, with much of the Black Hawk and Mi-17 helicopter fleet grounded by maintenance failures. Beyond equipment, security experts point to the removal of over 70 senior police and army generals during the current administration as a factor that degraded intelligence capabilities. Defense Minister Pedro Sanchez defends the existing record, citing the seizure of 3,300 metric tons of cocaine and the removal of 16,000 group members from the conflict. As the nation heads to the polls, the Ideas for Peace Foundation warns against viewing the crisis as a binary choice, suggesting that only a combination of social investment, rural development, and restored territorial authority can address the deep-seated grievances fueling the violence.





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