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Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked in Latest Brazilian Polling

With the October election looming, Brazil's political divide has sharpened into a statistical tie between President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro. A recent Quaest survey shows both candidates locked at 41% in a hypothetical runoff, underscoring a deep split in the electorate ahead of the vote.

Lula and Bolsonaro Deadlocked in Latest Brazilian Polling

The survey, commissioned by Globo, reflects a shifting momentum in the race between the leftist incumbent and the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. While Lula held a narrow 42% to 41% advantage in early September, the latest data confirms that the contest remains within the margin of error of two percentage points.

Researchers questioned 2,004 citizens between September 3 and 6 to gauge voter sentiment. The results highlight the high stakes of the upcoming campaign as both camps struggle to gain a definitive edge. With such thin margins separating the two figures, the path to the presidency remains volatile for both the governing administration and the conservative opposition.

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