Lula’s Advantage Shrinks as Brazil Election Nears

The latest projections place Lula at 47% support in a hypothetical runoff, compared to 43% for Bolsonaro. Although this reflects a slight contraction from July’s 48% to 43% split, the results remain within the poll’s two-point margin of error. This volatility highlights the mounting pressure on both campaigns as they navigate a volatile electorate. The narrowed margins suggest that the final weeks of the contest will be defined by intensified efforts to capture undecided voters, as the country prepares for a high-stakes transition of power.