The friction arrives amid a visible realignment of Armenia’s geopolitical trajectory. As Yerevan pivots toward deeper engagement with Western partners, Moscow has responded with targeted bans on specific Armenian imports. Putin countered the appeal by suggesting that Armenia’s ultimate aspirations for European Union membership should be settled through a national referendum, framing the country’s foreign policy shift as a point of contention rather than a sovereign prerogative.
Despite the escalating diplomatic coldness, Pashinyan maintains that the government remains committed to dialogue. The political mandate for this shift is clear: the administration’s recent re-election victory over pro-Russian factions underscores a public desire for a new direction. However, the economic reality remains tethered to the Kremlin, with Russia accounting for 35% of Armenia’s foreign trade volume last year. Should the dispute deepen, Armenia faces the prospect of suspension from the Eurasian Economic Union, a move that would fundamentally alter the regional economic landscape.





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