The military confrontation marks the total collapse of a fragile truce, raising the specter of a broader regional conflict. While analysts remain skeptical of an imminent full-scale war, the physical blockade of the strait has halted tanker traffic, forcing markets to account for potential long-term disruptions to energy exports.
President Donald Trump has conditioned a de-escalation on Tehran’s willingness to return to the negotiating table, threatening further strikes on Iranian infrastructure if hostilities persist. Tehran, for its part, is doubling down on its regional alliances. By expanding its strategic footprint, the Iranian leadership aims to maintain its grip on vital shipping lanes despite the mounting pressure from Washington's naval maneuvers.




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