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Russian Refinery Strikes Force Rare Shift Toward Fuel Imports

A relentless campaign of Ukrainian drone strikes on critical infrastructure has crippled the Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez refinery, forcing Russia to pivot from its long-standing position as a dominant global fuel exporter to a potential importer. The loss of key processing units has triggered domestic shortages and a scramble for foreign supply.

The Kstovo-based Norsi plant, Russia’s fourth-largest refinery and second-largest gasoline producer, serves as the most recent casualty in a broader wave of attacks that have sidelined five major facilities since early June. The damage to the AVT-6 unit—responsible for over half of the plant's capacity—and the earlier disabling of the AVT-5 unit effectively halted wholesale gasoline and diesel sales on the St. Petersburg exchange. With facilities from Moscow to Nizhnekamsk undergoing emergency repairs, national refining volumes remain stagnant at best.

Faced with a 20-30% surge in domestic demand, officials in Moscow are now navigating a precarious balancing act. While Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak maintains that fuel reserves are sufficient, the government has moved to lower mandatory exchange sales from 15% to 10% to prioritize agricultural and social needs. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov acknowledged that fuel imports are under consideration to stabilize the market, though he declined to name potential partners. Among those signaling readiness to assist is India, the world’s fourth-largest refiner, which has publicly expressed a willingness to supply Russia if the situation deteriorates further. As logistics networks undergo forced restructuring, the Kremlin's search for alternative supply chains marks a striking reversal for an energy giant historically defined by its export independence.

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