The diplomatic breakthrough, confirmed by officials from Qatar and Pakistan, helped stabilize sentiment despite lingering tension regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Shipping volume through the vital waterway slowed significantly over the weekend, contributing to a 0.4% dip in Brent crude to $80.17 a barrel. Meanwhile, Japan’s Nikkei surged 1.9% to build on last week’s record highs, and South Korean markets added 2.6% on persistent demand for semiconductor shares.
Investors are now shifting focus toward the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy path. Markets are pricing in a 75% probability of a rate hike by September, pushing 2-year Treasury yields to 4.2276%. Fabio Bassi, head of cross-asset strategy at JPMorgan, noted that while the firm anticipates a more patient approach, the limited tolerance for inflation creates genuine risks of earlier tightening. In the UK, political instability surrounding Prime Minister Keir Starmer added further pressure on gilts, while the dollar maintained strength against the yen amid looming intervention threats.




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