The current imbalance stems from a stark divergence in regional market behavior. Western producers are scaling back operations, yet these output cuts have failed to offset the sheer volume of metal flowing into global exchange warehouses. China remains the central driver of this trend; its heavy reliance on imports and strategic state-led purchasing during recent price dips have effectively saturated domestic supply chains.
This accumulation strategy suggests that the path toward market equilibrium will be neither immediate nor straightforward. As Chinese stocks hit multi-year highs, the sheer weight of these reserves creates a persistent ceiling on price recovery. Analysts view the situation as a long-term recalibration, where the disconnect between Western production struggles and Eastern storage capacity keeps the metal under constant downward pressure.





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