While Vice President JD Vance suggested progress toward a negotiated settlement, the reality on the ground remains volatile. President Donald Trump faces intense pressure from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to authorize a sustained campaign, even as the administration balances these hawkish demands against the political fallout of rising domestic gasoline prices. The U.S. maintains a naval blockade aimed at strangling Iranian oil exports, bolstered by the deployment of additional aircraft carriers and thousands of troops.
Tehran’s response has been defiant. Maj. Gen. Mohsen Rezaei, head of the Supreme National Security Council, stated the waterway will remain closed until the U.S. lifts sanctions and halts the blockade. Parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf warned that any further escalation would force Washington into a new, more desperate battlefield. Despite back-channel mediation efforts involving regional allies, public sentiment in Tehran remains polarized between hopes for policy shifts and deep-seated skepticism toward American governance.




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