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Beijing hesitates as trilateral summit talk with Trump and Putin grows

While Russian officials claim preparations for a high-stakes trilateral summit in Shenzhen are underway, Beijing remains pointedly silent. The proposed meeting between Xi Jinping, Donald Trump, and Vladimir Putin faces an immediate hurdle: a fundamental disagreement over whether the agenda should prioritize the war in Ukraine or nuclear arms control.

Beijing hesitates as trilateral summit talk with Trump and Putin grows

Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov first floated the prospect of a three-way summit two months ago, recently asserting that China has begun logistical preparations for the event on the sidelines of next month's APEC summit. However, the diplomatic optics remain precarious. President Trump has publicly framed the potential gathering as his own initiative, explicitly tying the dialogue to nuclear proliferation. China, conversely, has long maintained that any discussion on nuclear reduction must be preceded by drastic cuts to the existing US and Russian arsenals.

Beijing’s reticence is characteristic of its cautious diplomatic playbook. Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning declined to provide any information on the summit, reiterating only a general commitment to peace negotiations. Analysts suggest that the Communist Party is currently weighing the risks of being drawn into the Ukraine conflict against the potential diplomatic prestige of hosting such a global event. Experts like Wang Wen of Renmin University argue that without a clearly defined, mutually beneficial agenda, the summit remains a remote possibility. Furthermore, European observers have warned that a deal struck between the three powers without Ukrainian or EU participation could set a dangerous precedent, potentially signaling that territories like Taiwan might one day be treated as disposable bargaining chips in great-power negotiations.

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