Machado’s influence has fluctuated since the contentious 2024 election, despite her continued dominance in approval ratings. Currently, she remains abroad following her Nobel Peace Prize recognition, yet the timing of her reentry has become a point of contention. U.S. officials are actively pursuing a transition framework that excludes her, fearing that her presence could derail ongoing negotiations aimed at reshaping the nation’s political landscape.
President Trump has signaled that her return remains premature, prioritizing a controlled transition over the volatile optics of her arrival. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a longtime supporter of the opposition movement, continues to recognize her success in mobilizing the diaspora, even as the administration pressures her to hold back. While she maintains a firm intention to return, her window for action is narrowing as international actors look to bypass her leadership in favor of alternative political arrangements.





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