The BTG Pactual/Nexus survey currently grants Lula a razor-thin margin, yet the latest figures from the Globo-commissioned Quaest poll show a shift in momentum, with Bolsonaro edging ahead numerically for the first time. This volatility highlights the profound polarization defining the upcoming electoral showdown.
Financial markets have reacted sharply to the senator's recent gains. Investors, buoyed by the prospect of a more market-friendly administration, have triggered a rally in Brazilian assets. If neither contender secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the initial October ballot, the country will face a high-stakes October 25 runoff to determine the presidency.
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