Crude prices have stabilized at levels last seen before the conflict with Iran, yet the logistics of the recovery remain precarious. Refineries across Asia and Europe, having already locked in their seasonal requirements, are struggling to absorb the incoming barrels, creating a localized supply glut that threatens to depress prices further.
The industry faces a volatile period as Iran prepares to ramp up extraction efforts following the suspension of most international sanctions. While the reopening of key shipping lanes provides a semblance of normalcy, persistent political tensions continue to shadow the sector. Analysts warn that any further instability in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger another round of supply chain paralysis, turning today’s surplus into tomorrow’s scarcity.





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