Abiy Ahmed Secures Parliamentary Supermajority Amid Regional Instability

The Prosperity Party secured roughly 90% of the contested seats, far exceeding the 274 required for a majority. This outcome mirrors the party's performance in 2021, reinforcing Abiy’s control over a nation he began reshaping upon his 2018 appointment. While the government promotes a narrative of economic growth, forecasting a 10% expansion by 2026, the political reality remains fractured. Voting was entirely absent in the Tigray region, where the aftermath of a brutal two-year civil war continues to stymie governance, and was partially suspended in parts of Amhara due to the rise of the Fano militia.

Deep-seated ethnic grievances and armed opposition present a volatile backdrop to this electoral victory. In Oromiya, the Prime Minister’s home region, clashes between federal forces and the Oromo Liberation Army have claimed hundreds of lives. Opposition figures argue that the government has systematically dismantled their influence through arrests and administrative hurdles, though officials deny these claims. As the administration moves forward, the exclusion of millions of citizens from the ballot box highlights the stark divide between the capital's political consolidation and the persistent insecurity in Ethiopia’s peripheral provinces.