Capital goods imports have hit unprecedented levels as domestic businesses ramp up investment in artificial intelligence, offsetting concerns over ongoing tariffs and shipping disruptions. The trade balance with China also improved, narrowing by $2.6 billion, a development that economists view as a potential catalyst for second-quarter growth.
Despite these gains, the outlook remains tempered by external volatility. Rising energy costs linked to the conflict involving Iran threaten to disrupt the current export momentum. These shifting dynamics are forcing analysts to recalibrate GDP forecasts as the market monitors whether the current trade trajectory can withstand sustained geopolitical pressure.





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