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Indonesia Faces Economic Instability Under Prabowo

The Indonesian rupiah is tumbling to historic lows as investors retreat from the market, signaling a sharp decline in confidence since President Prabowo Subianto assumed power in 2024. His administration’s sudden shift toward centralized commodity control and altered central bank mandates has left global markets reeling from policy unpredictability.

These unorthodox economic maneuvers have created a volatile environment for foreign capital. By tightening state oversight on commodity exports and revising the central bank’s traditional mandate, the government has disrupted the regulatory stability that previously anchored the nation’s investment-grade status. This departure from conventional policy comes at a precarious moment, as the country struggles to buffer its economy against global energy shocks and mounting internal political friction.

The resulting capital flight threatens to erode the progress Indonesia made in positioning itself as a reliable emerging market. With the currency showing little sign of recovery, the administration faces the difficult task of restoring market trust before the downturn triggers a broader credit rating downgrade. Failure to reverse these trends could permanently deter the foreign investment necessary to sustain the nation’s infrastructure and growth goals.

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