Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party enters the race with a lead in pre-election surveys, setting the stage for a potential shift in the regional power balance. A victory would grant the administration the political capital needed to accelerate peace negotiations and potentially normalize relations with Turkey. The opposition, meanwhile, remains heavily aligned with Moscow, leveraging the threat of severed energy supplies to challenge the incumbent’s pivot toward Western mediation.
European observers are tracking the results closely, viewing the election as a pivot point for Armenia's future sovereignty. Critics argue that Pashinyan’s concessions following the military defeat three years ago compromised national interests, yet the government maintains that a constitutional referendum is the only viable path to securing Azerbaijan’s agreement. The outcome will determine whether Armenia continues its delicate balancing act or moves toward a definitive realignment of its diplomatic alliances.





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