Researchers analyzed 678,419 migrant survey observations across Chinese cities between 2012 and 2018, utilizing nighttime satellite imagery to map urban footprints. By measuring the straight-line distance between built-up areas, the study reveals that compact urban configurations correlate with a 6.3 percentage-point increase in overall employment probability and a 4.2 percentage-point rise in stable job prospects.
Impact of Urban Density and Policy
The study highlights that physical proximity reduces the friction of job hunting and commuting, yet layout alone is insufficient. When examining the 2014 hukou reform, which adjusted household registration systems, researchers observed that less compact cities saw significant employment gains only after policy barriers were lowered. This suggests that while dense infrastructure facilitates access to jobs, institutional changes remain the primary mechanism for integrating migrants into the local economy. Ultimately, the data indicates that cities with populations under five million, which relaxed residency restrictions most aggressively, saw the most substantial improvements in migrant employment, underscoring the necessity of pairing physical connectivity with inclusive social policy.

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