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Caribbean Nations Curb Debt Amid Persistent Revenue Shortfalls

Three years after the pandemic, half of the nations monitored by the Inter-American Development Bank have successfully lowered their debt-to-GDP ratios below pre-2020 levels. This fiscal discipline provides a rare buffer against global market volatility, even as regional governments struggle to bridge significant tax collection gaps.

Caribbean Nations Curb Debt Amid Persistent Revenue Shortfalls

The Bahamas, Barbados, Guyana, Jamaica, Suriname, and Trinidad and Tobago have navigated a decade defined by pandemic spending and volatile energy markets. According to the IDB, this progress stems from stronger institutional frameworks rather than favorable external conditions. Anton Edmunds, the bank's general manager for the Caribbean, noted that maintaining credible fiscal policy has proven essential for insulating these economies from the rising costs of international borrowing.

Despite these gains, the region faces a structural revenue bottleneck. Caribbean tax receipts averaged 21% of GDP in 2023, trailing the 34% average seen across OECD nations. This shortfall limits the fiscal space available for critical infrastructure and climate-resilience projects. To modernize, the report suggests shifting toward digital tax administration and reevaluating existing exemptions. For energy-exporting nations, the challenge remains tethered to commodity price swings; the IDB advocates for robust sovereign wealth funds to decouple long-term development spending from the inherent instability of oil and gas markets.

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