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US Retail Sales Stumble Amid Cooling Consumer Sentiment

A 0.6% drop in July retail sales marks the sharpest decline in over a year, snapping a nine-month streak of growth. This contraction, revealed by Commerce Department data, forces a recalculation of third-quarter economic expectations as job market shifts and persistent fuel costs weigh heavily on household budgets.

US Retail Sales Stumble Amid Cooling Consumer Sentiment

The dip stems from a convergence of factors, including the earlier calendar shift of Amazon’s Prime Day and the waning influence of tax refunds. While sectors like apparel and dining show pockets of resilience, the broader trend points to a distinct cooling in discretionary spending.

Economists have already begun marking down growth forecasts for the current quarter. Policymakers are now scrutinizing these figures to reassess the necessity of future rate hikes, weighing the reality of mild inflation against the growing sensitivity of consumers to gas prices and labor market volatility.

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