Kpler data indicates that seven of the vessels tracked on Tuesday entered the strait via the Iranian route, while only a single coal carrier completed an exit. Parallel figures from LSEG confirm the downward trend, recording eleven transits compared to fourteen the previous day. This suppression of movement follows explicit warnings from Tehran, which has maintained that the waterway will stay closed until the United States meets its specified conditions.
The current disruption remains severe when measured against historical norms. Before the February 28 closure of the passage, daily traffic typically ranged between 130 and 140 vessels. The ongoing standoff, fueled by reports of attacks involving U.S. forces and Houthi militants, continues to inflate insurance premiums and operational risks for energy shipments.
Contrasting this stagnation, the Bab al-Mandab Strait at the southern end of the Red Sea saw increased activity, with 30 vessels crossing on Tuesday—surpassing its ten-day average of 25. This divergence suggests that while global maritime commerce is shifting toward alternative routes to mitigate risk, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively paralyzed by the surrounding geopolitical conflict.
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