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French Business Sentiment Hits Four-Month High

Rising to 97 points in July, French business confidence has reached its highest level since March. The INSEE statistics agency reports that the surge persists despite the shadow of geopolitical instability in the Middle East and the operational strain caused by this summer’s record-breaking heatwaves across the country.

French Business Sentiment Hits Four-Month High

The manufacturing and retail sectors led the upward trend, showing surprising resilience against rising oil prices and persistent supply chain bottlenecks. While output numbers have improved, the underlying environment remains fragile. Roughly 22% of firms now report significant struggles in securing necessary inputs, marking the highest level of supply-side friction observed since the final months of 2023.

Domestic consumption provides a vital buffer for the broader economy. The services sector, particularly the hospitality industry, reports a notable uptick in demand. Hoteliers point to a shift in consumer behavior, as domestic travelers seek refuge in local destinations during the extreme weather conditions. This localized activity currently offsets the broader uncertainties weighing on international trade.

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