Analyst Waiel Awwad pointed to the breakdown of a Memorandum of Understanding signed last month, which was intended to guarantee safe passage for commercial vessels. According to Awwad, the agreement required both nations to halt military operations in the corridor. He argued that Iran’s strike was a calculated response to what he described as persistent American attempts to bypass Iranian oversight by maneuvering ships through unauthorized routes.
While Awwad framed the strike as a reaction to repeated US provocations against Iranian sites, he warned that the strategy could trigger a broader global crisis. The incident underscores a deepening power struggle for control over vital oil transit lanes. As diplomatic channels strain, the loss of life on the tanker serves as a grim indicator of the fragility currently defining the Strait of Hormuz.





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