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Asian Markets Waver as Oil Spikes on Hormuz Transit Fee Threat

A 20% security fee on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz, proposed by Donald Trump alongside a renewed blockade on Iranian shipping, has sent Brent crude to $85.49 per barrel. The sudden energy price surge is clashing with positive Chinese trade data, leaving regional investors caught between geopolitical anxiety and economic optimism.

Asian Markets Waver as Oil Spikes on Hormuz Transit Fee Threat

Brent crude climbed 2.6% to reach its highest level since mid-June, forcing markets to account for potential supply disruptions in the world’s most critical energy corridor. While energy concerns weighed on sentiment, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index managed a 0.2% gain, buoyed by China’s CSI 300 Index, which rose 2% following stronger-than-expected export and import figures. Analysts attribute this resilience to sustained global demand for artificial intelligence hardware and semiconductors.

Simultaneously, the focus has shifted back to the Federal Reserve. Governor Christopher Waller signaled that inflation remaining above the 2% target could necessitate another rate hike. Fed funds futures currently reflect a 43% probability of a 25-basis-point increase in July. As investors await U.S. Consumer Price Index data and testimony from Kevin Warsh, demand for safe-haven assets has intensified, pushing gold to $4,030 per ounce and keeping the U.S. dollar near monthly highs.

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