China’s daily deployment of military and coast guard assets creates a persistent pressure campaign that avoids triggering a singular, explosive conflict. Kuan cautioned that by treating each individual incident as a minor occurrence, the international community risks inadvertently normalizing a new, more restrictive regional reality. This strategy extends beyond Taiwan, impacting the maritime security interests of Japan and the Philippines.
Beyond immediate tactical friction, the sustained pressure threatens to alter established shipping routes and shift global perceptions of sovereignty in the region. Kuan emphasized that these collective actions function as a mechanism for territorial assertion, gradually moving the needle in Beijing’s favor while the outside world remains hesitant to label the ongoing escalation as a formal crisis.





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