The United States signaled a tactical shift in June by relaxing restrictions on Iranian oil sales, an initiative designed to incentivize a broader peace settlement. For Tokyo, the primary hurdle remains the legal and physical security of imports; Japanese buyers are demanding protection against potential retaliatory measures and assurances that shipments through the Gulf will remain unmolested.
Washington’s current authorization, which permits the trade of Iranian crude and petrochemical products, is set to expire on August 21. Since 2018, when the U.S. withdrew from the nuclear accord, Japan—alongside India, South Korea, and European nations—had largely abandoned Iranian imports, leaving China as the primary destination for Tehran’s output. Neither the Japanese Foreign Ministry nor the U.S. Treasury Department has addressed the ongoing talks as the August deadline approaches.
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