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Markets Rally as Cooling Jobs Data Dampens Rate Hike Expectations

A lackluster June jobs report triggered a sharp pivot in investor sentiment this Thursday, sending U.S. stocks and government bonds higher while the dollar retreated. With nonfarm payrolls rising by just 57,000—well below the 110,000 forecast—traders are aggressively recalibrating their outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate policy.

The Labor Department’s latest figures, which included a downward revision for May, suggest a cooling labor market that has fundamentally altered the yield environment. The U.S. 2-year yield fell to 4.11%, providing a cushion for technology stocks grappling with the heavy capital expenditures required for artificial intelligence expansion.

Broader market movements remained volatile. While tech valuations found some support, semiconductor stocks faced selling pressure due to portfolio rebalancing. Commodities also reacted to the shifting economic landscape; Brent crude slipped 1.4% to a four-month low amid reports of diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran, while gold prices surged 2.2% as lower bond yields reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.

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